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Bitcoin traded above $100k in June 2026
Optimistic
Stage
Asserted
Consensus
—
No disputes
Bond
500 USDC
Asserted (default true)
—
EU approved a spot Ethereum ETF before June 2026
Pending
Stage
LLM Resolved
Consensus
—
Disputes: 1 (LLM)
Bond
500 USDC
False (awaiting challenge)
—
Kanye West's Delhi concert got postponed
Optimistic
Stage
Asserted
Consensus
—
No disputes
Bond
500 USDC
Asserted (default true)
—
Fusion energy powers a city grid
Pending
Stage
Awaiting LLM
Consensus
—
Disputes: 1 (LLM)
Bond
500 USDC
Disputed → awaiting LLM
—
AI passes Turing Test in 2026
Pending
Stage
LLM Resolved
Consensus
—
Disputes: 1 (LLM)
Bond
500 USDC
False (awaiting challenge)
—
We won the Frontier Hackathon
Pending
Stage
Preparing Vote
Consensus
—
Disputes: 2 (Vote)
Bond
500 USDC
LLM resolution challenged
—
Mars colony established by 2030
Pending
Stage
Voting
Consensus
—
Disputes: 2 (Vote)
Bond
500 USDC
Staked vote live
—
Weight locked
48,200
OpenAI releases GPT-6 before 2027
Finalized
Stage
Finalized
Consensus
False
Disputes: 1 (LLM)
Bond
500 USDC
Finalized via llm
—
India wins FIFA World Cup 2026
Finalized
Stage
Finalized
Consensus
Unresolvable
Disputes: 2 (Vote)
Bond
500 USDC
Finalized via voting
—
Weight locked
38,700
World population exactly 9B by Jan 2027
Finalized
Stage
Finalized
Consensus
Unresolvable
Disputes: 1 (LLM)
Bond
500 USDC
Finalized via llm
—
